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	<title>Comments on: Autoblog&#8217;s Make-Work Bias And The Truth About The GM Bailout Or TL;DR</title>
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		<title>By: Andy</title>
		<link>http://www.ridelust.com/autoblogs-make-work-bias-and-the-truth-about-the-gm-bailout/#comment-6984</link>
		<dc:creator>Andy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Nov 2008 15:15:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ridelust.com/?p=12941#comment-6984</guid>
		<description>Great post and some excellent points. I think the bailout will happen because approximately 10% of US employees are employed in the auto industry or by its suppliers/dealers. Of this, the Big three and their suppliers employ more than 2.5 million people, amounting to nearly 2 percent of the nation’s work force. So by letting them going under or having to undertake massive cost cutting layoffs could result in a sharp spike in US unemployment and further depress consumer spending. It will virtually wipe out the Detroit economy. Politically and ecconomically the government has to act</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great post and some excellent points. I think the bailout will happen because approximately 10% of US employees are employed in the auto industry or by its suppliers/dealers. Of this, the Big three and their suppliers employ more than 2.5 million people, amounting to nearly 2 percent of the nation’s work force. So by letting them going under or having to undertake massive cost cutting layoffs could result in a sharp spike in US unemployment and further depress consumer spending. It will virtually wipe out the Detroit economy. Politically and ecconomically the government has to act</p>
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		<title>By: Scott</title>
		<link>http://www.ridelust.com/autoblogs-make-work-bias-and-the-truth-about-the-gm-bailout/#comment-6940</link>
		<dc:creator>Scott</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Nov 2008 03:51:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ridelust.com/?p=12941#comment-6940</guid>
		<description>Anyone who believes that bailing out GM will save this company is delusional.  Corporations, all of the rights of people with none of the responsibility.   GM only exists in its current incarnation because of misguided federal policy in the 1950&#039;s.  So many unnecessary roads, (and just think about that bridge to nowhere in Alaska), making auto travel so much more seductive, tearing up cost efficient trolleys and street cars for wonderful polluting buses.  

It is time the citizens of this country wake up , and throw off the shackles of the auto/oil cartel.  This vampire is sucking us dry.  Why does the US need an auto industry, we eat a lot of banana&#039;s, should we start a banana industry?  It is just non-sense.  What we need are good fair laws, that protect people, and allow business to flourish.  Right now we have neither!  What we need are good schools, and some way to provide incentive for people to study, math, chemistry, engineering, etc at a PhD level!  Bic is a French company, I haven&#039;t noticed any wild pen shortages, or pen price gouging.

The GM bailout is the worst of all the old fashioned fear mongering.  And the reality of the Bank bailout seems to be much the same.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Anyone who believes that bailing out GM will save this company is delusional.  Corporations, all of the rights of people with none of the responsibility.   GM only exists in its current incarnation because of misguided federal policy in the 1950&#8242;s.  So many unnecessary roads, (and just think about that bridge to nowhere in Alaska), making auto travel so much more seductive, tearing up cost efficient trolleys and street cars for wonderful polluting buses.  </p>
<p>It is time the citizens of this country wake up , and throw off the shackles of the auto/oil cartel.  This vampire is sucking us dry.  Why does the US need an auto industry, we eat a lot of banana&#8217;s, should we start a banana industry?  It is just non-sense.  What we need are good fair laws, that protect people, and allow business to flourish.  Right now we have neither!  What we need are good schools, and some way to provide incentive for people to study, math, chemistry, engineering, etc at a PhD level!  Bic is a French company, I haven&#8217;t noticed any wild pen shortages, or pen price gouging.</p>
<p>The GM bailout is the worst of all the old fashioned fear mongering.  And the reality of the Bank bailout seems to be much the same.</p>
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		<title>By: Geoff</title>
		<link>http://www.ridelust.com/autoblogs-make-work-bias-and-the-truth-about-the-gm-bailout/#comment-6911</link>
		<dc:creator>Geoff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Nov 2008 15:28:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ridelust.com/?p=12941#comment-6911</guid>
		<description>No one wants to see people suffer.  But whether you think GM should be saved now or not, I&#039;m not sure I&#039;ve heard anyone, including GM brass, say that by receiving money now that the company still would not ultimately fail in just a few more years.  In fact, one of the major arguments against GM bankruptcy is that pensions and other secure income would have to be absorbed by taxpayers at a cost of about $12 billion, which is still significantly less than what the company is asking.  GM has been dying a slow death for at least 20 years and while I think the U.S. NEEDS domestic manufacturing for jobs, they have been dealing with issues that won&#039;t be solved without an entire reboot of their unions, wages, management and production models.  How about, much like the huge public works projects mentioned, the Government put that money and the people who are laid off into the research, infrastructure and production of all the various components needed for the energy plans that get so much attention on this site?  Hydrogen/natural gas infrastructure needed for those plans to work.?  Start laying pipelines, building fuel stations and at-home fuel units and converting existing vehicles to run off of alternative fuels.  Assuming GM was/is doing everything right, propping them up in the short term does not change the fact that no one can buy cars right now anyway.  Better to invest in the future of the industry.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No one wants to see people suffer.  But whether you think GM should be saved now or not, I&#8217;m not sure I&#8217;ve heard anyone, including GM brass, say that by receiving money now that the company still would not ultimately fail in just a few more years.  In fact, one of the major arguments against GM bankruptcy is that pensions and other secure income would have to be absorbed by taxpayers at a cost of about $12 billion, which is still significantly less than what the company is asking.  GM has been dying a slow death for at least 20 years and while I think the U.S. NEEDS domestic manufacturing for jobs, they have been dealing with issues that won&#8217;t be solved without an entire reboot of their unions, wages, management and production models.  How about, much like the huge public works projects mentioned, the Government put that money and the people who are laid off into the research, infrastructure and production of all the various components needed for the energy plans that get so much attention on this site?  Hydrogen/natural gas infrastructure needed for those plans to work.?  Start laying pipelines, building fuel stations and at-home fuel units and converting existing vehicles to run off of alternative fuels.  Assuming GM was/is doing everything right, propping them up in the short term does not change the fact that no one can buy cars right now anyway.  Better to invest in the future of the industry.</p>
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		<title>By: Terry Parkhurst</title>
		<link>http://www.ridelust.com/autoblogs-make-work-bias-and-the-truth-about-the-gm-bailout/#comment-6898</link>
		<dc:creator>Terry Parkhurst</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Nov 2008 03:37:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ridelust.com/?p=12941#comment-6898</guid>
		<description>The Center for Automotive Research at the University of Michigan estimates that if the General goes under, it will mean the loss of three million jobs and the loss of $150 billion in tax revenue to the Federal government, over the next three years. 

It is indeed heartening and a sign of the long term good prospects for the auto industry to see Hyundai, Toyota, Honda and others with manufacturing plants in the United States. But those three million jobs aren&#039;t just in General Motors itself, but represent suppliers to the General. If those suppliers go under, it will also affect Hyundai, Toyota, Honda and others. It is one reason the head of Toyota actually offered to do whatever he could - raise prices, send fewer cars to the States - a few years back, to avoid seeing the General go under; when it looked then, as if that might occur. 

The situation with GM has little to do with John Maynard Keynes or Paul Krugman. The current head of the Federal Reserve is not a Keynesian, nor is the current occupant of the White House, not to my knowledge. 

General Motors has almost always operated in its own universe, so to speak; and that&#039;s part of the problem. Various chickens are coming home to roost. 

This is far and away from a Little League game. This is as real as it gets. Any student of the Great Depression understands how bad it can get; and it could happen again. Economics can be cruel, but to compare it to Darwinism, and then extrapolate that as a way for society to deal with those who end up losing their jobs, is the heighth of being callous. 

The old Civilian Conservation Corps, back in the 1930s, saved a lot of people&#039;s lives, not only those who worked for it, but also the families who received money sent home to those, who worked for the CCC. It was required of the people who worked for the CCC, in fact. 

If GM goes under, it is likely that (by then) President Obama might have to do something similar to ensure that people don&#039;t starve to death. There is simply now way the American economy, beleagured as it is with a war in Afghanistan, an occupation of Iraq and all the other problems it has, can provide living wage jobs to the millions who would be unemployed if GM goes under, in enough time, to ensure something other than mass chaos. 

I believe we&#039;re in territory now where none of the old theories apply - repeat, none of them. This is why Ben Bernanke, the head of the Fed and a student of the Great Depression is so frustrated and anxious; nothing seems to be working. 

Maybe you&#039;re right, Vito. I sincerely hope so. It would be nice to think that all those families that would be begging for food at various food banks in Michigan, if GM goes under, could survive until another day. 

Full disclosure: I worked for the senator&#039;s presidential campaign in 2000; however, I voted for someone else this time around. Although considering my vote was made at 715 pm, Pacific Standard Time, it was entirely academic, relative to the presidential campaign. 

In my less than humble opinion, any of the people running for president this time around - Bob Barr, Ralph Nader and the other various alternative party candidates included - would be better than what we have now.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Center for Automotive Research at the University of Michigan estimates that if the General goes under, it will mean the loss of three million jobs and the loss of $150 billion in tax revenue to the Federal government, over the next three years. </p>
<p>It is indeed heartening and a sign of the long term good prospects for the auto industry to see Hyundai, Toyota, Honda and others with manufacturing plants in the United States. But those three million jobs aren&#8217;t just in General Motors itself, but represent suppliers to the General. If those suppliers go under, it will also affect Hyundai, Toyota, Honda and others. It is one reason the head of Toyota actually offered to do whatever he could &#8211; raise prices, send fewer cars to the States &#8211; a few years back, to avoid seeing the General go under; when it looked then, as if that might occur. </p>
<p>The situation with GM has little to do with John Maynard Keynes or Paul Krugman. The current head of the Federal Reserve is not a Keynesian, nor is the current occupant of the White House, not to my knowledge. </p>
<p>General Motors has almost always operated in its own universe, so to speak; and that&#8217;s part of the problem. Various chickens are coming home to roost. </p>
<p>This is far and away from a Little League game. This is as real as it gets. Any student of the Great Depression understands how bad it can get; and it could happen again. Economics can be cruel, but to compare it to Darwinism, and then extrapolate that as a way for society to deal with those who end up losing their jobs, is the heighth of being callous. </p>
<p>The old Civilian Conservation Corps, back in the 1930s, saved a lot of people&#8217;s lives, not only those who worked for it, but also the families who received money sent home to those, who worked for the CCC. It was required of the people who worked for the CCC, in fact. </p>
<p>If GM goes under, it is likely that (by then) President Obama might have to do something similar to ensure that people don&#8217;t starve to death. There is simply now way the American economy, beleagured as it is with a war in Afghanistan, an occupation of Iraq and all the other problems it has, can provide living wage jobs to the millions who would be unemployed if GM goes under, in enough time, to ensure something other than mass chaos. </p>
<p>I believe we&#8217;re in territory now where none of the old theories apply &#8211; repeat, none of them. This is why Ben Bernanke, the head of the Fed and a student of the Great Depression is so frustrated and anxious; nothing seems to be working. </p>
<p>Maybe you&#8217;re right, Vito. I sincerely hope so. It would be nice to think that all those families that would be begging for food at various food banks in Michigan, if GM goes under, could survive until another day. </p>
<p>Full disclosure: I worked for the senator&#8217;s presidential campaign in 2000; however, I voted for someone else this time around. Although considering my vote was made at 715 pm, Pacific Standard Time, it was entirely academic, relative to the presidential campaign. </p>
<p>In my less than humble opinion, any of the people running for president this time around &#8211; Bob Barr, Ralph Nader and the other various alternative party candidates included &#8211; would be better than what we have now.</p>
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		<title>By: dan</title>
		<link>http://www.ridelust.com/autoblogs-make-work-bias-and-the-truth-about-the-gm-bailout/#comment-6871</link>
		<dc:creator>dan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2008 14:19:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ridelust.com/?p=12941#comment-6871</guid>
		<description>@Vito-
I can follow what you&#039;re saying, and your arguments make sense. Except for the sunshiney view that jobs are like ripe apples hanging from the trees, ready for picking, and here I have to agree with Terry. Unemployment is rising in the United States and is forecasted to approach some scary levels. With 2.5 million more jobseekers on the market, do you think that situation will get any better? Yes, quality jobs for productive businesses exist, but not in decent numbers. I&#039;m no economist, but I can see clearly how the free market forces businesses to pare workforces and reduce wages in tough economic times. So dumping all those people onto the unemployment rolls wouldn&#039;t just be bloody, it&#039;d be semi-catastrophic. 

I don&#039;t necessarily support a bailout, but I would like to see people getting down off their ivory towers before lauding the free market as the end-all, be-all solution.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Vito-<br />
I can follow what you&#8217;re saying, and your arguments make sense. Except for the sunshiney view that jobs are like ripe apples hanging from the trees, ready for picking, and here I have to agree with Terry. Unemployment is rising in the United States and is forecasted to approach some scary levels. With 2.5 million more jobseekers on the market, do you think that situation will get any better? Yes, quality jobs for productive businesses exist, but not in decent numbers. I&#8217;m no economist, but I can see clearly how the free market forces businesses to pare workforces and reduce wages in tough economic times. So dumping all those people onto the unemployment rolls wouldn&#8217;t just be bloody, it&#8217;d be semi-catastrophic. </p>
<p>I don&#8217;t necessarily support a bailout, but I would like to see people getting down off their ivory towers before lauding the free market as the end-all, be-all solution.</p>
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		<title>By: larry</title>
		<link>http://www.ridelust.com/autoblogs-make-work-bias-and-the-truth-about-the-gm-bailout/#comment-6868</link>
		<dc:creator>larry</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2008 13:27:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ridelust.com/?p=12941#comment-6868</guid>
		<description>Another GM bailout would be a huge mistake but it&#039;s just a symptom of the actual problem.  What&#039;s the problem?

“We’re all Keynesians now.”

It&#039;s pretty obvious that listening to Keynsians like Krugman got us into this situation, why should we keep listening to them?  


 “We’re Americans. Fight.” 

    Ahh the words of a man who graduated in the bottom 5% of his class.
I wonder how many times a day John McCain says that to himself when he&#039;s in front of a mirror?  I bet it&#039;s over 100. 

DI DI MAU!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another GM bailout would be a huge mistake but it&#8217;s just a symptom of the actual problem.  What&#8217;s the problem?</p>
<p>“We’re all Keynesians now.”</p>
<p>It&#8217;s pretty obvious that listening to Keynsians like Krugman got us into this situation, why should we keep listening to them?  </p>
<p> “We’re Americans. Fight.” </p>
<p>    Ahh the words of a man who graduated in the bottom 5% of his class.<br />
I wonder how many times a day John McCain says that to himself when he&#8217;s in front of a mirror?  I bet it&#8217;s over 100. </p>
<p>DI DI MAU!</p>
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		<title>By: Vito Rispo</title>
		<link>http://www.ridelust.com/autoblogs-make-work-bias-and-the-truth-about-the-gm-bailout/#comment-6866</link>
		<dc:creator>Vito Rispo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2008 12:59:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ridelust.com/?p=12941#comment-6866</guid>
		<description>@Terry:
&lt;i&gt;If those jobs go away, they will most likely simply go overseas. The idea that the workers of GM will automatically go to more productive jobs is a pleasant enough myth, but a myth nonetheless.&lt;/i&gt;

And as far as those jobs going overseas, that was partially my point.  We outsource lots of different types of jobs in the US, farming jobs, textile jobs.  But this idea that there is a shortage of jobs in the US is just not true, all the numbers say otherwise.  
And what are you basing your comment that it&#039;s a myth on?  I&#039;m explaining what actually happens in the real world when a business fails.  Workers in that business lose their jobs, and what kind of businesses are hiring?  Successful ones, ie productive ones.  That&#039;s not a myth, thats what actually happens.

Also, side note: Krugman won the Nobel prize for his work from many years ago when he actually did economics instead of punditry.  The prize has nothing to do with his current ideas.

&lt;i&gt;While no one can predict what life will be like for the General with a bailout, one can say with reasonable certainty that it will be bloody awful in America, especially for anyone associated with the auto industry - even auto journos - if GM goes broke.&lt;/i&gt;

Why?  Based on what?  
This attitude is at the center of this whole argument and it misses the point:  A bailout will hurt the overall economy by misallocating resources.  The economy will be in WORSE shape with the bailout.  

By bailing out GM, it will not make the industry work again, it won&#039;t drive demand from consumers, it won&#039;t guide GM down the path of profitability.  The demand just isn&#039;t there.  The bailout is akin to forcing taxpayers to support the cassette tape industry because they&#039;re losing ground to the CD industry.  The market has spoken, the bailout money will be wasted and it will hurt our economy.  

Let me boil it all down, if you read nothing else, read this:
&lt;b&gt;Supporters of the bailout seem to think that the economy is like a little league baseball game, with no winners and no losers, and everyone gets a trophy.  The fact is, there are winners and there are losers, we can&#039;t have a world where everyone comes out on top.  GM has lost, and a bailout for them is subsidizing failure.  

Yes, they have lots of employees, so do BMW and Kia and Honda and Toyota...all of which have plenty of plants in the US and employ US workers and pay US taxes.  

The question that no one is asking: what will the bailout actually do?  Will it make GM a better company?  Will it make them profitable?  Will it make US consumers want to buy more cars?  No, no, and no?  Then what will it do?  Just slow the process of GM&#039;s failure?  
There is simply no good answer to this question.&lt;/b&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Terry:<br />
<i>If those jobs go away, they will most likely simply go overseas. The idea that the workers of GM will automatically go to more productive jobs is a pleasant enough myth, but a myth nonetheless.</i></p>
<p>And as far as those jobs going overseas, that was partially my point.  We outsource lots of different types of jobs in the US, farming jobs, textile jobs.  But this idea that there is a shortage of jobs in the US is just not true, all the numbers say otherwise.<br />
And what are you basing your comment that it&#8217;s a myth on?  I&#8217;m explaining what actually happens in the real world when a business fails.  Workers in that business lose their jobs, and what kind of businesses are hiring?  Successful ones, ie productive ones.  That&#8217;s not a myth, thats what actually happens.</p>
<p>Also, side note: Krugman won the Nobel prize for his work from many years ago when he actually did economics instead of punditry.  The prize has nothing to do with his current ideas.</p>
<p><i>While no one can predict what life will be like for the General with a bailout, one can say with reasonable certainty that it will be bloody awful in America, especially for anyone associated with the auto industry &#8211; even auto journos &#8211; if GM goes broke.</i></p>
<p>Why?  Based on what?<br />
This attitude is at the center of this whole argument and it misses the point:  A bailout will hurt the overall economy by misallocating resources.  The economy will be in WORSE shape with the bailout.  </p>
<p>By bailing out GM, it will not make the industry work again, it won&#8217;t drive demand from consumers, it won&#8217;t guide GM down the path of profitability.  The demand just isn&#8217;t there.  The bailout is akin to forcing taxpayers to support the cassette tape industry because they&#8217;re losing ground to the CD industry.  The market has spoken, the bailout money will be wasted and it will hurt our economy.  </p>
<p>Let me boil it all down, if you read nothing else, read this:<br />
<b>Supporters of the bailout seem to think that the economy is like a little league baseball game, with no winners and no losers, and everyone gets a trophy.  The fact is, there are winners and there are losers, we can&#8217;t have a world where everyone comes out on top.  GM has lost, and a bailout for them is subsidizing failure.  </p>
<p>Yes, they have lots of employees, so do BMW and Kia and Honda and Toyota&#8230;all of which have plenty of plants in the US and employ US workers and pay US taxes.  </p>
<p>The question that no one is asking: what will the bailout actually do?  Will it make GM a better company?  Will it make them profitable?  Will it make US consumers want to buy more cars?  No, no, and no?  Then what will it do?  Just slow the process of GM&#8217;s failure?<br />
There is simply no good answer to this question.</b></p>
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		<title>By: Terry Parkhurst</title>
		<link>http://www.ridelust.com/autoblogs-make-work-bias-and-the-truth-about-the-gm-bailout/#comment-6858</link>
		<dc:creator>Terry Parkhurst</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2008 06:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ridelust.com/?p=12941#comment-6858</guid>
		<description>If those jobs go away, they will most likely simply go overseas. The idea that the workers of GM will automatically go to more productive jobs is a pleasant enough myth, but a myth nonetheless.

When I attended HTUF (Hybrid Truck Users Forum) in 2007, Win Mitchell, in charge of King County (the county that the unincorporated area around Seattle) fleet services, and a man who had kick-started hybrid (diesel-electric) vehicles in the county he serves, and several others, via cooperative, asserted, &quot;If you want hybrids, engage the politicians.&quot;

True enough, the economies of scale will help new technology, when it kicks in; but private investors are almost always hesistant to invest in new technologies, especially those related to the automotive and truck markets today, in these times of overproduction. 

The government does have a role to play. Of course, that isn&#039;t part of the plan for those who believe solely in the Austrian School of Economics or the ideas of the late Nobel-prize winning economist Milton Freidman. 

But economist Paul Krugman just won a Nobel prize and he is one of those for a bailout, albeit with some conditions. 

While no one can predict what life will be like for the General with a bailout, one can say with reasonable certainty that it will be bloody awful in America, especially for anyone associated with the auto industry - even auto journos - if GM goes broke. 

True enough, the British government messed up their auto industry; but as John McCain said, &quot;We&#039;re Americans. Fight.&quot; 

Or as Richard Nixon once said, shortly after he killed the gold standard, &quot;We&#039;re all Keynesians now.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If those jobs go away, they will most likely simply go overseas. The idea that the workers of GM will automatically go to more productive jobs is a pleasant enough myth, but a myth nonetheless.</p>
<p>When I attended HTUF (Hybrid Truck Users Forum) in 2007, Win Mitchell, in charge of King County (the county that the unincorporated area around Seattle) fleet services, and a man who had kick-started hybrid (diesel-electric) vehicles in the county he serves, and several others, via cooperative, asserted, &#8220;If you want hybrids, engage the politicians.&#8221;</p>
<p>True enough, the economies of scale will help new technology, when it kicks in; but private investors are almost always hesistant to invest in new technologies, especially those related to the automotive and truck markets today, in these times of overproduction. </p>
<p>The government does have a role to play. Of course, that isn&#8217;t part of the plan for those who believe solely in the Austrian School of Economics or the ideas of the late Nobel-prize winning economist Milton Freidman. </p>
<p>But economist Paul Krugman just won a Nobel prize and he is one of those for a bailout, albeit with some conditions. </p>
<p>While no one can predict what life will be like for the General with a bailout, one can say with reasonable certainty that it will be bloody awful in America, especially for anyone associated with the auto industry &#8211; even auto journos &#8211; if GM goes broke. </p>
<p>True enough, the British government messed up their auto industry; but as John McCain said, &#8220;We&#8217;re Americans. Fight.&#8221; </p>
<p>Or as Richard Nixon once said, shortly after he killed the gold standard, &#8220;We&#8217;re all Keynesians now.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Lawrence</title>
		<link>http://www.ridelust.com/autoblogs-make-work-bias-and-the-truth-about-the-gm-bailout/#comment-6853</link>
		<dc:creator>Lawrence</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2008 05:56:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ridelust.com/?p=12941#comment-6853</guid>
		<description>Nicely done.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nicely done.</p>
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